Forces massing against Abbott and his minder

If Australian voters didnât know the name of the Prime Ministerâs most senior adviser before, they certainly do now after chief of staff Peta Credlin joined her boss at the centre of the latest political storm over the decision to award an Australian knighthood to the Duke of Edinburgh.
One News Corp columnist argued that, despite her having no part in the knighthood decision, Ms Credlin should be held responsible for not protecting Tony Abbott from his lapse in political judgement.
The columnist urged the PM to sack his chief of staff as a sign of penance.
Then News Corp owner Rupert Murdoch weighed in, telling the PM via Twitter that Ms Credlin must go.
Abbott again. Tough to write, but if he wonât replace top aide Peta Credlin she must do her patriotic duty and resign. More
â Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) January 28, 2015
There is more to Mr Murdochâs intervention than meets the eye: Foreign Minister â and potential alternative PMÂ â Julie Bishop dined with the News Corp maestro just last week in New York.
Well-placed leaks to the media have made no secret of the poisonous working relationship between Ms Bishop and Ms Credlin, which culminated late last year in the Minister stating she would no longer take orders from the PMâs chief of staff. So it is way beyond coincidence for Mr Murdoch to urge the removal of Ms Credlin to ârecover team work and achieve so much possible for Australiaâ so soon after meeting with Ms Bishop.
As Mr Abbottâs gatekeeper and lightning rod for disgruntled MPs, Ms Credlin isnât new to complaints being made about her. But this time sheâs been drawn into what could be a fatal battle â between those Liberals who want the PM to succeed, and those who want him to fail.
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Some Coalition MPs have been complaining about Ms Credlin since the governmentâs electoral prospects started to go downhill last year. Ms Credlinâs command and control approach to running the Prime Ministerâs office and her protection of Mr Abbott from the day-to-day complaints of backbenchers and ministers have made her an easy target for anxious MPs.
As a result, Ms Credlin has been blamed for much of the governmentâs woes.
Calls for her removal reached a crescendo late last year, apparently on the basis that if more people could talk to the PM, the governmentâs prospects would magically improve. But then the complaints became muted when a few of the agitators were promoted in the December reshuffle of the ministry.
Little mention was made of Ms Credlin as the new year dawned, despite the PMÂ continuing to show poor judgement, such as the decision to cut the Medicare rebate for short consultations and putting a media-free trip to Iraq ahead of visiting bushfire zones around Australia.
Disillusioned and disheartened Liberal MPs looked instead to the real cause of the governmentâs woes â the Prime Minister himself â and speculation about Mr Abbottâs tenure began to gain momentum.
When the announcement to knight Prince Philip was first made on Monday, the mediaâs focus was on Mr Abbott, his lack of political judgement, and whether this out-of-touch âcaptainâs callâ signalled the beginning of the end for the Prime Minister.
Yet the two very deliberate interventions from News Corp on Tuesday brought Ms Credlin back into the picture.
Superficially, both actions appear to be similarly motivated, reflecting the PMâs supporters who think Ms Credlin is the problem and that the government will flourish again if she is excised.
While Ms Bishop may have argued to Mr Murdoch that the PMâs performance would improve with a new chief of staff, itâs likely she has come to the same conclusion that is beginning to dawn on many others â and that is that Ms Credlin has been the PMâs safety net. Without âthe bossâ as he calls her, and âMs Noâ as she is known to others, Mr Abbott would have made even more poor political decisions.
Mr Murdoch may think he was helping the PM, but his intervention has played nicely into Ms Bishopâs hands. If Mr Abbott removes Ms Credlin he will not only be pilloried for doing the media mogulâs bidding, but also lose the only person capable of stopping him from making more politically questionable decisions.
Any further deterioration of Abbottâs credibility would strengthen the resolve of MPs currently vacillating about the need to remove him, without Ms Bishop being seen as the coup leader.
And if the PM remains loyal and keeps his most trusted adviser, this may also motivate those MPs muttering that the only way to remove the chief of staff is to remove her boss too.
Political staffers are not meant to make the news, and when they do itâs a sure sign that bad political judgements are being made.
However the drawing of Peta Credlin into the debate over the PMâs decision to award a knighthood to Prince Philip is not about her political judgement, or even her ability to police the PMâs. This is about a battle for the future of the Coalition government by Abbott supporters and their Liberal Party foes.
Ms Credlin has just become the most likely to fall in their political crossfire.
Paula Matthewson was media adviser to John Howard in the early 1990s and then worked for almost 25 years in communication, political and industry advocacy roles. She is now a freelance writer and communications strategist. Paula has been tweeting and blogging about politics, the media and social media since 2009 under the pen name @Drag0nista.
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