Economists call for more infrastructure investment to offset construction slowdown

Prominent economists are calling on the government to invest more in infrastructure to offset the slowdown in building activity and stem widespread job losses.
The appeals for greater investment come after the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that building approvals had fallen by more than 25 per cent in the year to June.
UBS Bank senior economist George Tharenou interpreted that fall as evidence the sector was on course to lose 100,000 jobs in the coming year.
And AMP Capital doubled down on previous predictions that up to 60,000 would be lost.
Economists Stephen Koukoulas and Diana Mousina told The New Daily the strongly performing non-residential construction sector could absorb some of those losses.
But Ms Mousina said there was âprobably some capacity for the federal government to do more infrastructure investmentâ.Â
And Mr Koukoulas said the federal government should either announce more infrastructure projects or bring forward some of its $100 billion pipeline to boost economic growth, given poor housing investment threatened to drag it down.
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âWhen youâve got a fair bit of slack and you can borrow three-year money at 0.8 per cent at the moment if youâre the government, letâs fasttrack a few of the projects,â Mr Koukoulas said.
âKeep it as $100 billion over 10 years if thatâs your wish, but instead of averaging $10 billion a year, letâs have the next couple of years at $15 billion or $20 billion.
âItâs just a case of shuffling the timing of these projects, to the extent that you can achieve that.â
Greater infrastructure investment was crucial because it would soothe Australiaâs growing pains and help GDP growth push past 2 per cent, Mr Koukoulas said â with changing bulbs in street lights and other âtrivial-sounding projectsâ particularly commendable, as they were simple and quick to roll out.
Investment in social housing also gets a special mention, as it would provide jobs to recently laid off construction workers.
âAt a time when youâre looking to get any sort of additional growth momentum because the economy is sluggish, do it now,â Mr Koukoulas said.
âDonât do it at the peak of the boom, because you wonât find any workers.â
Ms Mousina was more optimistic about the economyâs growth prospects, telling The New Daily that it was set to grow by roughly 2 per cent over the next year, âbecause of strong growth in government spending, moderate growth in business investment and some contribution in exportsâ.Â
âThe missing part is weakness in consumer spending,â she said.
That piece of the economic puzzle could come into place fairly soon though, with the flow-on effects of interest rate cuts and income tax refunds still to work their way through the system.
According to IFM Investors chief economist Alex Joiner, the rate cuts and tax refund had provided some cause for optimism.
He told The New Daily that while it âisnât immediately obviousâ which sectors of the market would absorb the 100,000 construction job losses, strong underlying demand for housing â thanks to rapid population growth and the high number of young people still living with their parents â meant the slowdown wouldnât hit quite as hard as some expected.
âIÂ donât think weâre going to recapture the peaks of the residential construction cycle any time soon, but there is certainly support,â Dr Joiner said.
âThe downside risks have diminished because the Reserve Bank has been proactive in taking action, and there is that fundamental support from population growth.â
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