Our cities are killing young Australiansâ hopes and dreams

The Coalition has ramped up its âsocialistâ attack on the opposition, hoping to counter Laborâs ongoing campaign against âinequalityâ.
Finance Minister Mathias Cormann said in a fiery speech that Laborâs âsocialismâ would âflattenâ aspiration and that young Australians would âleave Australia and go where hard work, risk-taking and success are more highly valuedâ.
Well, one aspiration has already been flattened for many, but it has nothing to do with socialism and everything to do with inequality.
Itâs the aspiration to buy an affordable, suitable home within a reasonable distance of job opportunities.
A major reason for this is the tax break-induced credit bubble, though the Turnbull government prefers to focus on the highly misleading âsupply problemâ.
In fact, there are now more dwellings in Australia relative to population than there were 20 years ago, and those dwellings have more bedrooms on average â see the chart for Sydney here.
The 2016 census revealed that far too many of those homes are left empty, and too many larger houses are occupied by âempty-nestersâ who would prefer to downsize.
But there is another âsupplyâ issue â namely, the way Australians build âcitiesâ.
What is a city?
By some definitions we donât really build cities at all.
Definitions can be fuzzy, but the United Nationâs âWorld Cities 2016â survey uses three:
â the âcity properâ which is analogous to old-Paris or old-Beijing;
â the âurban agglomerationâ or the âbuilt-upâ parts;
â and the âmetropolitan areaâ which is defined by the commuting patterns and economic relationships of residents.
Australian cities have very small âcity properâ areas, fairly small âurban agglomerationsâ and massive âmetropolitan areasâ â sprawling miles of suburbs.
As the ABS map below shows, Sydney has become as large as London, but with very low population density.
That kind of sprawl is inefficient in economic terms, and offers a bleak future for young Australia.
Property consultant and University of Sydney lecturer Shane Geha points out that the aspiration to own a home in Sydney can mean looking at a 400 square metre block of land 70 kilometres from the CBD, costing $425,000.
Mr Geha, whose consultancy specialises in getting local councils to rezone land for higher-density developments, thinks the solution is to âretro-fitâ larger parts of the metropolitan areas â to expand the âbuilt-upâ zone.
That is happening to a degree, but Mr Geha thinks much more extensive public transport infrastructure is needed to make it possible.
Historically, Australians wanted to live in suburbs, and enjoyed the transport that helped create them â the motor vehicle.
However, basic arithmetic says that every additional 10km band of suburbs, assuming the same population density, will add double the number of people housed in the previous 10km band.
When large parts of those outer bands of population crush into the city each morning, horror commutes are the result.
Urban planners have long known that when this happens, demand grows for new homes closer to work, creating a maximum commute time of about an hour, known as the âMarchetti constantâ.
As Professor of Sustainability at Curtin University, Peter Newman, puts it: âCities adjust; they donât keep expanding travel time.â
But to adjust, or to be retro-fitted, local councils and state governments have to approve the right developments in the right timeframe.
Mr Geha, who holds a PhD in urban planning, recently returned from Dallas, absolutely incredulous that ârezonings [in Dallas] take four to eight months with most development applications completed in under one monthâ.
That, he says, is like âgreased lighteningâ compared with Australian planning processes â meaning the expansion of new âbuilt-upâ zones is too slow.
For some, like high-profile entrepreneur Dick Smith, that means we should vastly scale back immigration, to a level our dysfunctional cities can cope with.
But that comes with its own costs â such as choking off Australiaâs lucrative âeducation exportsâ sector.
It also sends a pretty clear message to young Australians: while other developed nations can plan and create functional cities, but we can only release more and more far flung âburbs.
And thereâs not much to aspire to in that.
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