Unemployment rate drops to 5.9 per cent

The Bureau of Statistics has released stronger than expected jobs data, showing 40,000 full-time and 18,600 part time jobs being created in the month of October, in seasonally adjusted terms.
The data follows improvements in both business and consumer confidence in the past week, tentatively supporting claims the economy is successfully transitioning from the resources boom to growth in other sectors.
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But while the seasonally adjusted headline unemployment rate fell from 6.2 per cent to 5.9 per cent in October, the less volatile trend estimate of unemployment was unchanged at 6.1 per cent.
The participation rate also remained unchanged at 65 per cent.
The number of jobs created in October beat analyst forecasts by a factor of four â a huge boost for the economy if believed.
However, the ABS survey methodology was recently heavily criticised by the Bureauâs former head Bill McLennan.
Mr McLennan told Fairfax media in October: âThe results of the last six months arenât worth the paper theyâre written on, so why are we wasting millions of taxpayersâ money on the survey?â
Head of financial markets for Bendigo Bank, David Robertson, told The New Daily the real unemployment situation was probably somewhere between the seasonally adjusted and trend figures, and that âpeople have to do their own smoothingâ of the data.
However, he said that he was âhappy to take a brighter view generallyâ of the economy in the months ahead.
âWeâve seen interest rates come down 2.75 percentage points in the past two-and-a-half years, and the Australian dollar fall 30 per cent in the same period. If you donât get a tick up in employment in those circumstances, you never will.â
Mr Robertson said a 12 per cent increase in this weekâs ANZ job ads survey and strong economic data from the US lent support to the lower unemployment figure being correct.
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