UN warns of asset bubble in Australian housing
Australiaâs economy faces âsluggishâ growth amid warnings of an asset bubble in the property sector that needs to be âclosely monitoredâ, the United Nations says in its latest economic report for Asia and the Pacific.
The UN report forecasts economic growth for Australia of 2.8 per cent in 2014, âdue to falling mining investments, fiscal restraint and fragile private consumptionâ, ahead of the 2.3 per cent set for 2013.
The slide in commodity prices, a driving force of growth in recent years, is adding to the economic slowdown in Australia against the backdrop of a âweak global economyâ.
â˘Â How to avoid making a dodgy property purchase
⢠More Australians priced out of capital cities
The UNâs annual economic survey for the Asia Pacific noted that weak labour conditions âwould help keep a lid on inflationâ, but commodity exports would continue to play a key role in the outlook despite Chinaâs policy shift to domestic-led growth resulting in a softening of demand.
A key concern was a possible asset bubble in the domestic housing market. âThe housing market is likely to strengthen, but the possibility of an asset bubble should be monitored closely,â the UN warned.
The UN said despite an âorderly depreciationâ of the Australian dollar, monetary authorities should hold back from raising interest rates, as the decline âwas needed to improve the competitiveness of non-resource sectorsâ.
The report was more optimistic over the outlook for the New Zealand economy, where growth was tipped at 3.3 per cent for 2014, up from the 2.7 per cent achieved in 2013.
âHigher net immigration, better prospects for the dairy industry, and the reconstruction activitiesâ from the Christchurch and Canterbury earthquakes of 2010 and 2011 would continue to support the economy.
The Insurance Council of New Zealand recently reported that New Zealand residents are to receive payouts of $NZ12 billion ($A11.17 billion) to cover the costs from the earthquakes.
But the outlook remained dependent on the âstrength of private consumption and investmentâ given a tightening of budgets and monetary policy.
A chief concern lay in the short term for New Zealand exports. The âpossible headwindsâ lay in a stronger New Zealand dollar hurting export growth.
The report added that surging house prices and monetary policy tightening in the United States âmay push up interest rates, placing strains on investments and consumer spendingâ.
Want to see more stories from The New Daily in your Google search results?
- Click here to set The New Daily as a preferred source.
- Tick the box next to "The New Daily". That's it.








